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NYC Rent-Tracking Thread - Reports of the NYC "rent bubble" bursting Report here! in: Subjects › Real Estate

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Just from browsing rents on the Upper East side of Manhattan, it appears that prices are finally leveling off or going down. I pay $2400 for a non-doorman one bedroom in the East 80's off of Park Avenue, but I have seen rents around $2,000 or lower for similar apartments in the area lately.

There are also articles like this one in AMNY:

http://weblogs.amny.com/entertainment/urbanite/blog/2008/12/_chr...

and also posts like this from the Gothamist about rent in NYC:

http://gothamist.com/2008/10/14/manhattan_apartment_rents_slight...

So, I thought this would be a great thread to weigh in on rents in different NYC areas. I know this is VERY locally targeted and may be better suited for a different website/message board. If that is the case, MODS - please delete this and I will take the thread elsewhere.

In any case, as I have mentioned, I pay $2400 for a one bedroom on a 1-year lease. The lease expires in June, 2009 and I will let everyone know then what I have to pay for my current apartment, or what I can get elsewhere.

Feel free to add to this thread where applicable.

********************************
Also, if you haven't seen, CitiHabitats and Tregny.com puts out a monthly market report. I think these reports have all the things that you were trying to find out in this thread. They even break it down by neighborhood.

Current Market Reports:

Citi Habitats Market Report Home Page

- October 2008 Report

- November 2008 Report

Tregny.com Market Report Home Page

- October 2008 Report
- November 2008 Report

TregNY December report is out!
*************
Websites:
Comprehensive guide of rental buildings in all the neighborhoods
Curbed.com
UrbanDigs.com
Property Grunt

**********************
Current News Stories:
NYC Apartment Rents Fell in November, Vacancies Rose

********************
POSTED BY TAZZY531:

All you guys talking about the realtor fees or that the no fee rentals are crap need to learn about how to find an apartment in NYC. I've posted a number of threads on this topic. Please search.

Here's a quick summary

NO FEE Rentals -- These are usually larged managed buildings. The management companies will pay the brokers 1 month rent to bring you in. The secret here is that if you go directly to the management companies, you can get 1 month free rent yourself. So basically pay 12 months for a 13 month rent. These are also typically doorman buildings.
One way to do this is walk the neighborhood. Once you've decided what neighborhood you want to live in, spend a day or a weekend walking around the neighborhood. Walk into each building and ask the doorman 1) "Is this a rental building?" 2) "What is the number for the management company?" Call the management company directly. You'll get a better deal than working with the broker.
The thing about No Fee building is that you're not paying any money up front, but you pay it off over the course of your lease. These apartments are usually very cookie cutter apartments.

If you are too lazy to even do this, here are a couple of guides:
Link <-- Comprehensive guide of rental buildings in all the neighborhoods


Craigslist -- Use this, but realize that a majority of these people are posting about the no fee buildings listed above. If you find listings for a certain building that you like, call up the buildings directly instead of going through the brokers. There are a number of shady brokers that will charge you a brokers fee and also take a commission from the managed building. You're just getting screwed in the end. The best way to use Craigslist (I've found) is either 1) looking for a roommate that already has an apartment and is looking for a roommate 2) search for "lease transfer" -- someone that wants to get out of their lease and is looking for someone to take it over 3) Owner rental

Brokers -- Yes, brokers charge you 15% of your first year's rent. Yes, that is a lot of money. So make them work for it. The only way a broker pays off is that they have access to apartments that you wouldn't normally get access to. These are usually investor owned or owner rented condos. (Basically, someone bought a single unit condo and is renting it out) Since you are dealing with a single owner (not a management company), you will end up getting more flexibility in negotiating your rent. In addition, you will have more flexibility negotiating your subsequent year's rent (the owner doesn't want to go through the trouble of finding another tenant whereas a management company has high turn over and don't care). Lastly, you'll get more "extraordinary" apartment that are not cookie cutter. You may find a space that is bigger than what you would normally find with balcony, rooftop, and backyard [<-- my situation] that you would never find without going through a broker. The owner usually takes better care of the apartment compared to what a mangement company would do. Again, this is very hit or miss. You may find a place that you love or you may find all crap. What I do with broker is immediately say: "I do not want to see ANY no fee apartments.. I only want to see owner rented apartments" If they have nothing, I don't waste my time and just move on to the next broker. Some brokers have access to some really really good stuff, others just scout out CL and hoc it off as their own.

With regards to the 15% brokers fee. Do an apples to apples comparison. You may find that amortized over the course of the lease, the fee isn't that much higher than the No Fee apartment. (I mean, in the end, someone has to get paid..whether you pay up front or over the course of years...it depends on your specific situation)

I've lived in NYC for the past 6 years in 4 different apartments.
1st Apt: Walk around the neighborhood... talked to the management company -- Doorman highrise -- small apt
2nd Apt: Found a guy that wants to transfer his lease since he's moving out of the city -- Doorman highrise - top floor - large space (Dormandy)
3rd Apt: Walked around the neighborhood...talked to mgmt companies -- Luxury highrise with view of the river
4th Apt: Talked to mgmt companies; ended up finding a great broker that showed me 5 different places each better than the prior one within my budget. These were apartments that I would never have had access to otherwise. (I can't emphasize how great she was.. if you guys want her contact, PM me) -- Private top floor studio (600sq ft) apt with balcony, rooftop, and backyard (yes, backyard and rooftop in Manhattan)


Anyways, here are other apartment resources:
link <-- Listing of Luxury hi rise - no fee apts
link <-- Another listing of NO Fee Apts buildings. These are smaller buildings and you'll most likely talk to the super
link <-- Listing site


The other big tip is: Try to look for an apartment or have you lease expire during the April-Aug period. This is when most people's leases expire (college students sign 1 year lease). On one hand, this is when there is the most demand and also the most supply. On the other hand, finding a place in Nov-Jan gives you the advantage of price based on greater supply than demand but overall supply and demand is significantly lower. You may want to go through the traditional managed building route through the busy season and the lease transfer during the low season.


Examples from the recent newsletter of the broker I dealt with:


STUDIO
UWS W. 85th St, Deco FP, Townhouse $1800 to $1699
G. Village Christopher St, alc.std, elevator $2250 to $1995
Murray Hill 33rd St, Doorman, Health club, 480sf. $1900 to $1800

ONE BEDROOM
UES 87th St, Doorman, Roofdeck gym/pool $2600 to $2375
UWS 73rd/Columbus, Balcony, Laundry $2750 to $2500
Murray Hill Doorman, Laundry, 38th St $2500 to $2300

TWO BEDROOM
Clinton Doorman, Pets allowed, LOW FEE $2410 to $2295
UWS Doorman, pre-war, newly renovated $4150 to $3750

UES Doorman, high floor, city views, health club $2695 to $2495

Anyways, my point is that finding an apartment in NYC seems daunting at first, but once you know the ins and outs of the system, you can navigate it pretty easily and not get ripped off. The difficulty of finding a place in NYC gives rise to a number of shady brokers. This is why many people have such a distaste for brokers. (I used to have a significant distate for brokers until my positive experience out of many many terrible ..horrendous experience [don't get me started on the worse broker I dealth with])

Message edited by: NYCSportsResearcher on 2009-01-05 17:35:24 CST
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Supply and demand. Thousands are being laid off. If you are laid off, you can't afford the apartment, therefore their is a greater supply of apartments beginning to develop.

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I think it went down because of the winter season when not that many ppl like to move.
Last year during winter it went down as well and then went up in May-July.
just my 2 c

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Not until they get rid of those unfair rent control / rent stabilization laws in NYC.

There are many wealthy people renting high end NYC apartments that can even be "passed down" to relatives, at a fraction of their market value (ex: family friends of ours pay $600/mo for a 2 bedroom apt in midtown Manhattan, with a market rate around $3,000/mo). Which creates a lower housing supply, which creates higher rents for everyone else. Not to mention screwing over the basic fundamental rights of property owners.

To add insult, income is not even a determining factor in the laws.

As they say..."Only in New York." Glad I moved out of that overpriced city after 21 years.

Message edited by: omarECD on 2008-12-02 16:20:51 CST
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I am in NY and i am sure alot of members on fatwallet are also in/from NY.

This is excellent and valid discussion imho.

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Great topic Op

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One thing that you must enlighten the non NYC folks with...brokers fees are paid by the person looking for the apartment. These are on average 15% of the first year's lease. You can get non-broker deals, but they are limited in many instances. Also, very high end places have in house leasing offices--but we're talking places where the rent is 4+k for the 1 b/r.

So, the question arises, do I pay an upfront fee to move to a cheaper place? How long will I have before I have a ROI? Will I be around long enough to break even? Do I have tens of thousands ready for the fees and the moving charges?

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Aerofreaky said:One thing that you must enlighten the non NYC folks with...brokers fees are paid by the person looking for the apartment. These are on average 15% of the first year's lease. You can get non-broker deals, but they are limited in many instances. Also, very high end places have in house leasing offices--but we're talking places where the rent is 4+k for the 1 b/r.

So, the question arises, do I pay an upfront fee to move to a cheaper place? How long will I have before I have a ROI? Will I be around long enough to break even? Do I have tens of thousands ready for the fees and the moving charges?

Those are the questions that so many of us NYC folks constantly face. It sucks.

As for the whole rent control/stabilization thing, here is my story:

I grew up on a rent controlled 2 bedroom apartment in the heart of Greenwich Village. This apartment was the same apartment that my mother grew up in. The rent is under $200 while the market value is probably close to $2500 - $3000. My mother was an early childhood teacher at, and eventually owned her own small business doing the same which failed. She is now a "stay at home mom"/retired (at age 50). My father was a salesman for major shipping companies, got laid off in the early 90's recession and ended up helping a family friend run his successful musical equipment store where he still works today as the head of shipping/ CFO. Basically, they are middle class all the way, and I lived a middle class upbringing. I likely would have been close to the poverty line if not for this rent-controlled apartment. Because of this apartment, my parents were able to help me in going to the college of my choice and graduate in four year. It will be the same for my two younger brothers. I wasn't living a spoiled life, but I had everything that "needed" and never felt "poor." Obviously, my parents could have done better for themselves if they had made some different decisions in life such as not having 3 kids, etc etc. However, you play the hand that is dealt to you. The plot thickens a bit since I moved BACK to NYC after college. I am a few years out now (well, make that 4, more than a few) and I am back in NYC and making around $55k per year. I am still trying to find my niche, but between my girlfriend of 8 years and I, we have a HHI of over 110k. However, because of the very rent control and stabilization that I grew to love as a kid, I am now paying the ridiculous $2400 for a non-doorman one bedroom apartment. What goes around comes around, huh?

I will likely never end up in my parent's apartment in Greenwich Village as I have two younger brothers and they are more likely to live down there.

So, there is one story illustrating the good and the bad of rent control/stabilization.

Message edited by: NYCSportsResearcher on 2008-12-02 17:44:28 CST
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Market rents are down 30-40% from the peak.

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NYCSportsResearcher said:Those are the questions that so many of us NYC folks constantly face. It sucks.

As for the whole rent control/stabilization thing, here is my story:

I grew up on a rent controlled 2 bedroom apartment in the heart of Greenwich Village. This apartment was the same apartment that my mother grew up in. The rent is under $200 while the market value is probably close to $2500 - $3000. My mother was an early childhood teacher at, and eventually owned her own small business doing the same which failed. She is now a "stay at home mom"/retired (at age 50). My father was a salesman for major shipping companies, got laid off in the early 90's recession and ended up helping a family friend run his successful musical equipment store where he still works today as the head of shipping/ CFO. Basically, they are middle class all the way, and I lived a middle class upbringing. I likely would have been close to the poverty line if not for this rent-controlled apartment. Because of this apartment, my parents were able to help me in going to the college of my choice and graduate in four year. It will be the same for my two younger brothers. I wasn't living a spoiled life, but I had everything that "needed" and never felt "poor." Obviously, my parents could have done better for themselves if they had made some different decisions in life such as not having 3 kids, etc etc. However, you play the hand that is dealt to you. The plot thickens a bit since I moved BACK to NYC after college. I am a few years out now (well, make that 4, more than a few) and I am back in NYC and making around $55k per year. I am still trying to find my niche, but between my girlfriend of 8 years and I, we have a HHI of over 110k. However, because of the very rent control and stabilization that I grew to love as a kid, I am now paying the ridiculous $2400 for a non-doorman one bedroom apartment. What goes around comes around, huh?

I will likely never end up in my parent's apartment in Greenwich Village as I have two younger brothers and they are more likely to live down there.

So, there is one story illustrating the good and the bad of rent control/stabilization.

The fact is, income is not a factor in who gets their rent to be controlled. There are tons of extremely wealthy people with these rent-controlled apartments.

Also, why should your parents benefit at the property owner's and everyone else's expense? It's great that it helped your parents, but that doesn't make it fair.

Message edited by: omarECD on 2008-12-02 17:59:12 CST
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NYCSportsResearcher said:am back in NYC and making around $55k per year ... I am now paying the ridiculous $2400 for a non-doorman one bedroom apartmentWow. With $29,000 per year in rent, you could never live there without the girlfriend ?

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I am renting an alcove studio (500 sq ft) in a luxury doorman building downtown for low 2000s (started renting 6 months ago). Currently, similar buildings around are offering 1 month free (i.e., pay 12 months of rent, but live for 13 months). Some other buildings that were previously offering 1 month free are now offering 2 months free. That's a reduction of about 1/12th, i.e., 8%.

I expect that by the time late spring comes, we will be at about 15% of from June of 2008.

Reportedly, bank bonuses are going to be lower. I think mid-year, many bank employees expected to get 50-70% of their 2008 bonus in 2009 (bonus shows up in January). Currently, it's looking a lot worse, maybbe 30%. Add 10-20% layoff across the fattest part of the bonus structure, and we have a substantially smaller bonus pool (15% * 0 + 85% * 30% = 25%). It is important to track both the size of the bonus pool and aggregate jobs terminated, because for each job terminated in high paying fields, 2-5 other jobs disappear.

I fully expect that if the recession is deep, NYC rents might go down by 50%.

Also, paying for a NYC broker is totally BS. There are plenty of rentals available directly from the source on craigslist.com. And btw, the no-broker fee broker listings are also suspect. If you get one of those, you are still overpaying.

Message edited by: tolamapS on 2008-12-02 17:58:43 CST
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omarECD said:NYCSportsResearcher said:Those are the questions that so many of us NYC folks constantly face. It sucks.

As for the whole rent control/stabilization thing, here is my story:

I grew up on a rent controlled 2 bedroom apartment in the heart of Greenwich Village. This apartment was the same apartment that my mother grew up in. The rent is under $200 while the market value is probably close to $2500 - $3000. My mother was an early childhood teacher at, and eventually owned her own small business doing the same which failed. She is now a "stay at home mom"/retired (at age 50). My father was a salesman for major shipping companies, got laid off in the early 90's recession and ended up helping a family friend run his successful musical equipment store where he still works today as the head of shipping/ CFO. Basically, they are middle class all the way, and I lived a middle class upbringing. I likely would have been close to the poverty line if not for this rent-controlled apartment. Because of this apartment, my parents were able to help me in going to the college of my choice and graduate in four year. It will be the same for my two younger brothers. I wasn't living a spoiled life, but I had everything that "needed" and never felt "poor." Obviously, my parents could have done better for themselves if they had made some different decisions in life such as not having 3 kids, etc etc. However, you play the hand that is dealt to you. The plot thickens a bit since I moved BACK to NYC after college. I am a few years out now (well, make that 4, more than a few) and I am back in NYC and making around $55k per year. I am still trying to find my niche, but between my girlfriend of 8 years and I, we have a HHI of over 110k. However, because of the very rent control and stabilization that I grew to love as a kid, I am now paying the ridiculous $2400 for a non-doorman one bedroom apartment. What goes around comes around, huh?

I will likely never end up in my parent's apartment in Greenwich Village as I have two younger brothers and they are more likely to live down there.

So, there is one story illustrating the good and the bad of rent control/stabilization.


The fact is, income is not a factor in who gets their rent to be controlled. There are tons of extremely wealthy people with these rent-controlled apartments.

Also, why should your parents benefit at the property owner's and everyone else's expense? It's great that it helped your parents, but that doesn't make it fair.

Completely agree, but just thought I would personalize it a bit.

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xoneinax said:NYCSportsResearcher said:am back in NYC and making around $55k per year ... I am now paying the ridiculous $2400 for a non-doorman one bedroom apartmentWow. With $29,000 per year in rent, you could never live there without the girlfriend ?

That is correct - we would likely be married right now, but we don't see the rush since we don't plan on having kids.

So, I am trying to save up money, trying to find a good deal on a ring, etc.

Hoping rents go down so it is a bit more reasonable living here. I was born and raised here in NYC and like living here!

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tolamapS said:I am renting an alcove studio (500 sq ft) in a luxury doorman building downtown for low 2000s (started renting 6 months ago). Currently, similar buildings around are offering 1 month free (i.e., pay 12 months of rent, but live for 13 months). Some other buildings that were previously offering 1 month free are now offering 2 months free. That's a reduction of about 1/12th, i.e., 8%.

I expect that by the time late spring comes, we will be at about 15% of from June of 2008.

Reportedly, bank bonuses are going to be lower. I think mid-year, many bank employees expected to get 50-70% of their 2008 bonus in 2009 (bonus shows up in January). Currently, it's looking a lot worse, maybbe 30%. Add 10-20% layoff across the fattest part of the bonus structure, and we have a substantially smaller bonus pool (15% * 0 + 85% * 30% = 25%). It is important to track both the size of the bonus pool and aggregate jobs terminated, because for each job terminated in high paying fields, 2-5 other jobs disappear.

I fully expect that if the recession is deep, NYC rents might go down by 50%.

Also, paying for a NYC broker is totally BS. There are plenty of rentals available directly from the source on craigslist.com. And btw, the no-broker fee broker listings are also suspect. If you get one of those, you are still overpaying.

good point, I would think that the financial district downtown will see the most immediate rent decreases.

Message edited by: NYCSportsResearcher on 2008-12-02 18:08:11 CST
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xoneinax said:NYCSportsResearcher said:am back in NYC and making around $55k per year ... I am now paying the ridiculous $2400 for a non-doorman one bedroom apartmentWow. With $29,000 per year in rent, you could never live there without the girlfriend ?

For true New Yorkers, living in (gasp) a cheaper borough is not an option, even though it's super easy/convenient to get around the city. Pretension dominates (also a small part of the reason for high rents).

Message edited by: omarECD on 2008-12-02 18:24:02 CST